Teams vs Low-Scoring Opponents
Backs teams that have averaged over 52 yards per field goal made and maintained low third down attempt points over their last 3 games, facing opponents who have scored fewer than 29 points per game in their last 5 contests.
Part of all NFL Moneyline system records.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 3 Kick Fieldgoalsmadeyards
Avg 3 Miscellaneous Thirddownattempts
Opp Avg 5 Pts
TOTAL PICKS
838
HIT RATE
62.33%
RECORD
268-162
ROI
+18.99%
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
268
430
162
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
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Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Teams vs Low-Scoring Opponents" NFL Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 268-162 (62.33% hit rate) with 18.99% ROI across 430 graded picks. Closing line value averages 16.27, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Teams vs Low-Scoring Opponents system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NFL moneyline pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Teams vs Low-Scoring Opponents system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 838 total qualifying games, with 430 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.