Team Over vs Low-Block Opponents
Backs the over for teams with 26+ season wins and a history of high-scoring games under the assigned referee, when facing opponents who have averaged minimal blocked shots over their last 5 games.
Part of all NHL Over/Under system records.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Opp Pavg 5 P Blockedshots Mean
Ref Avg Total
Season Wins
TOTAL PICKS
1690
HIT RATE
59.43%
RECORD
375-256
ROI
+13.46%
Recent Picks
| Date | Game | Side | Result | CLV | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, '26 | Carolina Hurricanes @ Philadelphia Flyers | over | L | — | -$1.00 |
| May 8, '26 | Carolina Hurricanes @ Philadelphia Flyers | over | L | — | -$1.00 |
| May 4, '26 | Philadelphia Flyers @ Carolina Hurricanes | over | L | — | -$1.00 |
| May 3, '26 | Philadelphia Flyers @ Carolina Hurricanes | over | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 30, '26 | Dallas Stars @ Minnesota Wild | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
| Apr 29, '26 | Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers | over | L | +0.05 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 29, '26 | Minnesota Wild @ Dallas Stars | over | W | +0.05 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 27, '26 | Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins | over | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Apr 26, '26 | Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers | over | P | -0.18 | $0.00 |
| Apr 25, '26 | Dallas Stars @ Minnesota Wild | over | L | -0.23 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 23, '26 | Dallas Stars @ Minnesota Wild | over | W | -0.23 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 22, '26 | Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers | over | W | +0.18 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 21, '26 | Minnesota Wild @ Dallas Stars | over | P | -0.18 | $0.00 |
| Apr 20, '26 | Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins | over | L | +0.18 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 19, '26 | Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins | over | L | +0.18 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 18, '26 | Minnesota Wild @ Dallas Stars | over | W | +0.14 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 15, '26 | Dallas Stars @ Buffalo Sabres | over | W | +0.05 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 13, '26 | Dallas Stars @ Toronto Maple Leafs | over | W | +0.50 | +$0.91 |
| Apr 13, '26 | Carolina Hurricanes @ Philadelphia Flyers | over | L | -0.14 | -$1.00 |
| Apr 11, '26 | Philadelphia Flyers @ Winnipeg Jets | over | W | — | +$0.91 |
Profit Curve
$1 flat-stake cumulative profit from graded picks, sorted by settlement date. Net: -$218.20 across 31 picks.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
375
631
256
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Picks by Month
Related NHL Over/Under Systems
Overs with Penalty-Heavy Refs
89-46 record · 65.9% hit rate
Team Over in High-Save Games
99-53 record · 65.1% hit rate
High-Scoring Team Overs
120-65 record · 64.9% hit rate
Over in Moderate Defensive Variance
66-36 record · 64.7% hit rate
Over in High-Scoring Inconsistent D
63-35 record · 64.3% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Team Over vs Low-Block Opponents" NHL Over/Under system still work?▾
The system's live record is 375-256 (59.43% hit rate) with 13.46% ROI across 631 graded picks. Closing line value averages 0.03, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Team Over vs Low-Block Opponents system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NHL over/under pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Team Over vs Low-Block Opponents system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 1690 total qualifying games, with 631 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.