Favorites vs Cold Porous Defenses
Backs favorites against opponents in the middle tier of overall strength (Elo 1377-1526) who have been scoring below league average while allowing opponents to score at a high rate over their last 5 games.
Part of all NBA Moneyline system records.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
54
57
3
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Related NBA Moneyline Systems
Elite Favorites vs Cold Offenses
75-2 record · 97.4% hit rate
Elite Favorites in Competitive Matchups
72-3 record · 96.0% hit rate
Elite Favorites with Tight Turnover Control
56-4 record · 93.3% hit rate
Elite Teams vs Weak Opponents
120-9 record · 93.0% hit rate
Elite Favorites with Rim Protection
61-6 record · 91.0% hit rate
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Opp Avg 5 Pts
Opp Avg 5 Pts Allowed
Opp Elo
Opp Elo
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Favorites vs Cold Porous Defenses" NBA Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 54-3 (94.74% hit rate) with 80.86% ROI across 57 graded picks. Closing line value averages 23.27, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Favorites vs Cold Porous Defenses system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a NBA moneyline pick only when all 4 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Favorites vs Cold Porous Defenses system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 112 total qualifying games, with 57 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.
TOTAL PICKS
112
HIT RATE
94.74%
RECORD
54-3
ROI
+80.86%