Home Teams with Strike Dominance
Backs home moneyline favorites with strong recent strike-throwing performance (averaging over 72.7 strikes in their last five games) and home win percentages exceeding 67.69%, supported by elevated home Elo ratings.
Part of all MLB Moneyline system records.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Avg 5 Pitch Strikes
Home Team Elo Rating
Home team's Elo rating is above 5.735. Higher Elo = stronger team per the model.
Referee Home Win %
Crew has a historical home-team win rate above 56%.
Referee Home Win %
Crew has a historical home-team win rate above 68%.
TOTAL PICKS
1070
HIT RATE
76.85%
RECORD
385-116
ROI
+46.71%
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
385
501
116
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Related MLB Moneyline Systems
Elite Favorites With Steady Bats
123-17 record · 87.9% hit rate
Home Teams with Steady Offense
178-30 record · 85.6% hit rate
Home Favorites with Steady Offense
123-24 record · 83.7% hit rate
Home Favorites with Stable Offense
136-28 record · 82.9% hit rate
Home Teams with Pro-Home Umps
394-104 record · 79.1% hit rate
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Home Teams with Strike Dominance" MLB Moneyline system still work?▾
The system's live record is 385-116 (76.85% hit rate) with 46.71% ROI across 501 graded picks. Closing line value averages 1.74, meaning picks are consistently beating the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Home Teams with Strike Dominance system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a MLB moneyline pick only when all 4 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Home Teams with Strike Dominance system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 1070 total qualifying games, with 501 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.